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Showing posts with the label missmarketcrash

Predictably unfashionable

Copyblogger last week told me to cross-dress my blog - to write an article from the point of view of the opposite sex, or someone of a different age. So I have been wondering "What would missmarketcrash write?" And it became clear that the ideal article would blend a cynical attitude to the financial markets with a comment about the latest fashion accessories. Fortunately, the perfect news story showed up in yesterday's paper. The Philips Rationalizer consists of an Emobracelet, worn on the wrist, and an Emobowl which displays your emotional responses to warn you if you are getting too irrational and need to step away from the terminal for a while. It's recommended for use by stockmarket traders who may be susceptible to asset price bubbles. Mainly targeting the home day-trader market, but who's to say professional traders wouldn't benefit from it too ? While that research claims to show that higher testosterone results in higher trading profits, I suspect...

Guest post at missmarketcrash

If you're interested in predicting political behaviour or business outcomes, or want to know what's going to happen in Iran in October, you might be interested in Bruce Bueno de Mesquita's work. It's written up in my guest posting on missmarketcrash's blog today.

Eeyore vs Pangloss

missmarketcrash has been busy analysing the perception-driven world of economics and the contest between optimists and pessimists - or is it pessimists and optimists ? I am firmly on the optimists' team but I have a feeling she has a sneaking affection for the opposition. The bad boys always get the girls. Anyway here are some results from my economics zeitgeist data from the last three months - showing that bloggers at least are more positive than negative. And according to miss's search data, much more positive than the general public. 20090222 pessimism: 7 optimism: 11 20090301 pessimism: 4 optimism: 16 20090308 pessimism: 14 optimism: 13 20090315 pessimism: 12 optimism: 15 20090322 pessimism: 6 optimism: 16 20090329 pessimism: 5 optimism: 29 20090405 pessimism: 3 optimism: 9 20090412 pessimism: 11 optimism: 23 20090419 pessimism: 5 optimism: 30 20090426 pessimism: 5 optimism: 28 20090503 pessimism: 6 optimism: 28 20090510 pessimism: 1 optimism: 25 200...