Knowing and Making

I've had this article in draft for about three weeks. Paul Krugman's latest item seemed an opportune moment to finish it. Intriguing article by Sheng and Pomerleano in the Economists' Forum about zero interest rate policy . I don't think I agree with what they are saying (insofar as I can even tell what they're saying) but it stimulates a few thoughts along Scott Sumnerish lines. One bit (from Kevin Warsh, quoted approvingly by the authors) jumped out at me: A complication is the large volume of banking system reserves created by the non-traditional policy responses. There is a risk, of much debated magnitude, that the unusually high level of reserves, along with substantial liquid assets of the banking system, could fuel an unanticipated, excessive surge in lending. Now surely a surge in lending is exactly what we want? Isn't all this monetary activism meant to increase the effective money supply (or counter a fall in velocity) therefore sustaining nominal GD...

Lots to write about today, but not much time. Here are the topics. See if you can spot the connection: The myth of hollowing-out. Frank Furedi (see Tuesday's post) gave an interesting talk but I still see this as the main flaw in his argument. I have started to work on some more concrete theory to help quantify the contribution the knowledge economy makes to consumer benefit. Government intervention/rescue of businesses. Jaguar in particular - definitely a firm on the "productive" side of Furedi's distinction - is a candidate for some kind of financial assistance. Can government choose the right businesses to rescue or set specific criteria for doing so? What should it get in return? Zero interest rates. At some point it isn't the price of money that stops people borrowing or lending; it's the challenge of paying it back. What else can the state do other than print money? Related topic: what should people do with their fiscal stimulus? More to the point, what ...